LordWrymouth

LordWrymouth Updated 

On trading social media, Disney has been the target of moonboys for quite a while. For some reason, whenever a stock is in a landslide and doesn't go up, everyone gets it in their head that they're going to BUY THE CALLS and catch the next MOTHER OF ALL SHORT SQUEEZES. And this is because you want to gamble on a single day candle, which results in you blowing...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Greed quickly became extreme at the end of July, and the beginning of August has severely punished bulls, who are still buying the dip and buying the dip. The July high on Nasdaq happened to occur along with the Dow and the SPX in that all three indexes swept out the January '22 pivot that amounted to a rejection that ended that unprecedented bull...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Last week's SPX call was pretty accurate in terms of levels. What was wrong was only the order of operations and timing. ES SPX Futures - Welcome to FOMCmageddon I had felt it made sense for the market maker to sweep out the lows before taking the highs, but the plan was the opposite, and this actually adds credence to the theory that the markets are...

LordWrymouth Updated 

In a previous post on NVIDIA following its earnings gap all time high, I posited that a bearish three drives was a real possibility, which would involve the stock actually going down and then driving up a few more times in accordance with the overall market topping: NVIDIA - A Scenario Few Are Considering. Few. Few. Few. That never panned out, and instead...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Every time the price of oil goes up, there's a group of bulls that are sure they're catching the train to $150. I mean, I do think oil will go to $150, and there has to be a bottom that comes first, so there's that. But with fossil fuels and energy producers it seems the pumps are rare, the consolidations are frequent, and the dumps are more common. In two...

LordWrymouth Updated 

In mid June, I had made a call that Natural Gas was about to rally, because price action and timing supported a move upwards. Natural Gas - The Girl Who Hopes You Remember Her But that call became abandoned as I enlightened and improved further, and began to note that rallies were sold off and lows kept being taken. The trade degenerated into looking at a...

LordWrymouth Updated 

The first thing I want to remind you of is that you should buy stocks when they're low, down, and red. Stop buying things when they're green and up bigly because you "see confirmation." If you can't let go of this attachment to only believing in what you can see and not believing until you're shown, then the Bible story of Doubting Thomas is really something to...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I have to say that Palantir is a really difficult chart to read. On the one hand, looking at monthly bars, it's the kind of pattern which indicates new highs are in store. Weekly bars are about the same. Nothing about this says you can short. And its only that there's some divergences on the daily. But those divergences are really meaningful. However, at...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Paypal is an antiquated business model. The problem is, the Federal Reserve just launched FedNow, which is like a bank-to-bank Central Bank Digital Currency. Most CBDCs will come in the future, and they will target retail/consumers, and Paypal will no longer be useful for transferring money. In Canada, where I am, Paypal is already primarily worthless, because...

LordWrymouth Updated 

First, I understand that Amazon had an excellent earnings report, whether analyst estimates were gamed to the downside and it was easy to beat notwithstanding. What you have to be really careful of right now is the excess greed that abounds in the markets. Greed is the thing that kills accounts the fastest, and when you blow your account, there won't be any use...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Apple has really been, perhaps arguably, the key reason the bear market rally has been as extreme as it has in 2023. Looking back to January, there really has not been even a single genuinely bearish day. But with Q2 earnings as a catalyst, we now have signs of a genuine and significant reversal pattern, and at an all time high. It's very evident on monthly...

LordWrymouth Updated 

The oil markets have been something of a puzzle to everyone on account of the fact that they range sideways for long periods of time, move a little bit, decapitate one side of the market, and then range again. One thing I've been sure of is that after doing $120 post-Ukraine War, and after WTI literally hitting $0.00 ( $-40 settlements lol) this certainly was not...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I've noticed that, especially in the last week, the trading community has really transformed into almost full bore greed. People are buying highs on almost anything, especially some of the most dubious of stocks, and getting rewarded with 5-15% gains every day. There's even a popular post on here that asks "As new highs approach, what is the bear case?" Whenever...

LordWrymouth Updated 

The new rage on financial social media is that a new room temperature superconductor has been discovered, and appears to be replicable in labs. This is significant because superconductors normally have to be either really hot or really cold during their operations. So, AMSC has Superconductor in its name and is naturally pumping, and has been since May. The...

LordWrymouth Updated 

I have to say that Meta is one of the hardest charts that exist to read right now, mostly because for 9 straight months, an unprecedented feat in the history of Facebook, it has gone up in a straight line, and bigly. You only see it clearly on the monthly: And yet the problem with the bull thesis for a new all time high is the '22 bear raid took out all the...

LordWrymouth Updated 

This is a follow up to my June 2 call for a new ATH on Gold, that will be bearish, instead of bullish: Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped? In the process of tracking this, price action did not meet expectations (in the sense that it has not traded low enough), and so I began to reconsider the overall topography of the market. Also, right...

LordWrymouth Updated 

Ford is one of the richest charts among all of the U.S. equities to chew and savour for an analyst. The reason is, its relevant price action to today spans some 22 years, and we can only see it on the monthly: Notably, $26~ was a curious place for price action to stop and reject 18 months ago, leaving monthly hallmarks of potential targets And looking at the...

LordWrymouth Updated 

(Using 3-Day candles for visibility only. Consult weekly/daily yourself) I have an open call on Gold in that I believe a new high will be set, but it won't actually be bullish, because metals are going to dump pretty hard in the future and try to make retail sell their bullion. Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped? I hadn't paid a lot of...